Locals Have More Fun Blog

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Tuesday, March 31, 2009

RETAIL - HOW TO COUNTER THE EFFECTS OF THE ECONOMY: DELIVER REAL

I pick up my pro form BD Havoc's and Revelation backpack - a sweet setup for next season, but I still need a pair of DynaFit bindings - light and fast. Next season??!! This season is unbelievable - late March/Early April and it is dumping!!!!
Picking up my gear, I meet with Kurli, a rep for BD and we talk about the current state of the economy - his optimisim, love for life, passion for the industry, his company is uplifting.
He mentions, REAL. I am awed as I read this article this morning - Marty Weening from Gramicci, talking about "delivering real"
Must be the snow!
Be environmentally Cool,
Head Local and Local Artist

Monday, March 30, 2009

Retail - SNEWS Mini-Survey provides look at how retailers are adjusting to the new economic climate

The SNEWS® Mini-Survey that ended March 26, 2009 asked, “What are you doing differently to help your retail business survive the current economy?” It was refreshing to read that more than seven of 10 (71 percent) of our respondents indicated they were emphasizing more customer service and follow-up. Not surprisingly, more than two-thirds or 68 percent responded that they were “keeping their inventories leaner” while 53 percent indicated they were carrying fewer SKUs in their stores.

As a bit of a wake-up call to suppliers and manufacturers, nearly half of respondents or 47 percent stated they were cutting out “marginal suppliers.” It was also interesting to note that 44 percent were relying on holding special in-store events with the goal of attracting new customers.

What did surprise us a bit in the results is that only 29 percent of our retail respondents indicated they were seeking to negotiate rent decreases or moving to cheaper space. Several reports in our ongoing economic series, which can be found by clicking here, point out that renegotiating leases is a valuable retail survival tool during this economic downturn, and we do know from conversations with some retailers who have done this that savings have been substantial.

And as for seeking to match prices with competitors, including big box, we were pleasantly surprised to see only 17 percent of our survey respondents indicated this was one of their strategies. Indeed price competition is a course of action that retail experts have also noted is not the way to win the war.

Our new survey question, “Have you found social networking sites to be beneficial to your business?” is now live and awaiting your feedback. We look forward to hearing if you use these sites as a part of your business and, if so, which ones.

To make your vote count, simply go to the SNEWS Reader Poll section in the right navigation bar of every web page in SNEWS or, click here.
--SNEWS® Editors

New digital eFitBiz by SNEWS now out: Don’t miss annual state-of-retail report, ’08 top retailer lists

Always a frontrunner when it comes to delivery of news and information, with this issue of eFitBiz, SNEWS® will start to deliver news to you in a dynamic, interactive fashion like no other industry publication has -- in a virtual magazine format where you live the content.

Debuting in this sixth-annual eFitBiz by SNEWS – our annual look at the state of the previous year’s retail and


retailers – the virtual magazine will help you, our readers, truly live our stories and information, experience our ads and learn from the material presented. It’s not just passive, but an active adventure in reading and education. Be sure you have the volume turned on and up on your computer.

While our much-awaited report on the state of retail and our top retailer lists are all still here, they are presented with many enhancements in this virtual magazine: When you “flip” the pages with a click, you’ll find links directly in the stories and charts that will take you to SNEWS stories so you can read up on things you missed or have forgotten – mouse over and around the pages to discover embedded links and features. You’ll experience product videos in ads that demonstrate and show you the equipment, with the video also allowing you to play and replay as needed, stopping where you want to take a closer look.

This is of course only the beginning: The SNEWS fitness magazine, out as usual in mid-summer, will also be virtual and you’ll see all of the above features – and much more as we incorporate more experiences into our mutual adventure into the future of information delivery.

Certainly the virtual content isn’t all there is to talk about, though. The state-of-retail report isn’t unfortunately a rosy picture but when you take a look at the information about past recessions and who’s doing what, you’ll see some optimism still exists. The list of “top retailers” – again using black-and-white store numbers since we know they are factual and not fudged – has changed quite a bit. You may be surprised to realize what did happen between January and December 2008, uttering, “Gosh, that was only a year ago?”

You’ll also be a bit surprised to see how many more changes have taken place since 2009 – businesses are listed where they wouldn’t be now -- since we don’t represent 2009 news on the list. For ongoing information you’ll need to turn to SNEWS online (www.snewsnet.com).

Meanwhile, you won't want to miss this newest release. This 2009 edition of eFitBiz by SNEWS is brought to you by SNEWS (of course!), Afterburner Fitness, BodyCraft, Fitness Master, Health & Fitness Business Expo, Lifecore Fitness and the American College of Sports Medicine.

Our SNEWS subscribers are also first in line to see eFitBiz when it's released. You can also view past editions by clicking here and scrolling down to the eFitBiz editions you choose. Of course, you must be a subscriber to see magazines and magazine archives, but we do offer a Freebie SNEWS subscription that’ll do the trick. Just click here to get one of those if you don’t already have one.

Missed the link to eFitBiz? Click here to get to your copy of the latest edition. Enjoy the new virtual format; pass it around, and please tell us what you think. You can reach us either by emailing snewsbox@snewsnet.com or giving a ring, 530-268-8295.

Note: Retailers, the annual SNEWS® Retailer Survey is kicking into gear soon. Let your vote and voice count. Our 7th-annual survey will open in April. If you have not been surveyed in the past or want to make sure you are included this year, send an email to survey@snewsnet.com with your store name and contact information (including email, phone and fax), as well as the name of the best single person to be in charge of responding to the survey for your business, if it’s not yourself. Don't let you or your suppliers be left out.

Thursday, March 26, 2009

HUGE LANDS PACKAGE CLEARS CONGRESS, AWAITS OBAMA’S SIGNATURE

Bend, Ore., – the House of Representatives voted today to pass the Omnibus Public Land Management Act. The final vote in the House was 285-140. The bill passed the Senate 77-21 last week. The lands package now goes to President Obama for his signature, possibly as early as next Monday.

The legislation protects two million acres of Wilderness and 1000 miles of rivers, and prohibits new oil and gas development on 1.2 million acres in Wyoming. It also legislatively affirms the 26-million-acre National Landscape Conservation System.

“This is a major conservation victory that preserves wild places throughout the US forever,” said John Sterling, Executive Director of The Conservation Alliance.

Every conservation provision included in the legislation started at the local level where grassroots organizations led the charge to build public support to protect a special landscape or waterway. The Conservation Alliance supported the local organizations that led the efforts behind 12 of the 16 Wilderness provisions included in the package. The Alliance also funded the groups leading the efforts behind protecting the Snake River Headwaters, and closing the Wyoming Range to new oil and gas development.

In total, The Conservation Alliance contributed more than $700,000 to ten different organizations whose good work eventually wound up in the package. The Alliance also worked in close partnership with Outdoor Industry Association to demonstrate that the outdoor industry stood uniformly behind the provisions in this package.

“This is a big victory, and we did everything within the limits of our lean staff capacity and financial resources to ensure it crossed the finish line,” said Sterling.

Click here http://conservationalliance.com/UserFiles/File/OPLMA08.pdf to view a summary of the conservation provisions in the bill.

About the Conservation Alliance:
The Conservation Alliance is an organization of outdoor businesses whose collective contributions support grassroots environmental organizations and their efforts to protect wild places where outdoor enthusiasts recreate. Alliance funds have played a key role in protecting rivers, trails, wildlands and climbing areas.

Membership in the Alliance is open to companies representing all aspects of the outdoor industry, including manufacturers, retailers, publishers, mills and sales representatives. The result is a diverse group of businesses whose livelihood depends on protecting our natural environment.

Since its inception in 1989, the Alliance has contributed more than $7.4 million to grassroots environmental groups. Alliance funding has helped save over 40 million acres of wildlands; 26 dams have either been stopped or removed; and the group helped preserve access to more than 17,000 miles of waterways and several climbing areas. For complete information on the Conservation Alliance, see www.conservationalliance.com

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Retail - Trading Down Phenomena has Outdoor Retailers Shopping Lower Price Points

Some outdoor specialty retailers are beginning to follow their customers down market. “I think people are scaling back on the number of $400 shells they are bringing in and buying more $100 shells,” said Dave Matz, president of Grassroots Outdoor Alliance. “There is a movement to bring in a lower price point.”

While fashion and luxury brands are much more vulnerable to the trend, average retail prices have declined in specialty outdoor channels thanks to a surge in sales of carry over product and a rise in sales of accessories, according to retail sales data for January released last week by Outdoor Industry Association (OIA) and Snowsports Industries America (SIA). SIA reported that while consumers snapped up accessories like hats, gloves, goggles, wax, parkas, fleece tops, sweaters and winter boots, they backed away from buying skis, boots, boards, and bindings.

In outdoor channels, the share of product sold in the fourth quarter that was priced under $25 grew to 17.5% in 2008 from 16.7% in 2007 and 16.0% in 2006, according to data compiled by Leisure Trends Group for the OIA Outdoor Topline Report. The share of product priced over $100, meanwhile, fell to 38.0% from 40.0% and 39.1% respectively. The trend became more pronounced in January, when sales of sub-$25 product grew to 22.7% of total outdoor sales from 18.7% in the same month a year earlier. Sales of $100-plus product fell to 33.0% of total sales from 38.0% a year earlier. The share of footwear sales priced under $25 nearly doubled to the 10% range.

While analysts warn against reading too much into January sales figures, consumer surveys are detecting the shift down market, particularly in apparel. In one survey published last month, 90.7% of Americans designated specialty shopping for apparel as expendable.

Even specialty retailers catering to a more affluent clientele are introducing lower price points. Their thinking is a shift in consumer buying habits toward value and will continue long after the recession ends. In Charlotte, NC, Jesse Brown’s Outdoors is bringing Columbia Sportswear apparel back into their shop for the first time in years. Owner Bill Bartee stopped buying Columbia years ago after deciding his future lay with brands not carried by big-box retailers. With consumer anxiety over the economy rising, Bartee will add product from Columbia’s PFG and Titanium lines to complement his assortment of Arc’teryx, Ex Officio, Patagonia, Mountain Hardwear and The North Face.

“We will still sell $500 Gore-Tex shells,” said Bartee, “But we will sell less of them. Columbia will bring a price-point to Jesse Brown’s that to a large extent is not available right now. We anticipate a backlash against luxury.”

Some retailers see the recession accelerating a long-term trend away from brand loyalty that was already being driven by the millennial generation (born 1978 - 2001). That generation is much less inclined to define themselves by conspicuous consumption of specific brands, said Ted Manning, VP of merchandising for Eastern Mountain Sports (EMS).

“The customer is coming back to the concept of minimalism and core functionality and not excess,” said Manning, “There will be less brand loyalty.”

Still, national brands will continue to play a major role at EMS, which continues to grow its own brand of apparel. “We have not headed into recession by throwing out national brands,” Manning said.

Below are examples of how retailers are adapting to consumers’ new frugality:

Loading up on basics and accessories that are priced below $25.

Shifting down within a brand. Rather than cut premium brands, buyers are bringing in more of their entry-level product. The good-better-best mix is shifting more toward better.

Bundling product on the equipment side to lower the cost of entry for your core sports. For instance, bundle a boat, PFD and paddle to show entry-level paddlers how inexpensively they can getting into paddle sports.

Bringing in new brands. Specialty retailers are giving more widely distributed value brands another look.

Expanding and/or promoting private label offerings.

Buying overstock and close-out deals. Many retailers who cut back their pre-season orders are aggressively buying overstock and closeouts to ensure a steady flow of deals.

Monday, March 23, 2009

Rethinking Retail: Sunshine Fitness offers a smorgasbord of all things active

Think of Sunshine Fitness as a smorgasbord for those hooked on all things active, indoor or out. Customers who walk through the doors of the Anchorage, Alaska, store can buy scuba gear, mountain bikes, swim suits and all matter of fitness equipment from treadmills to rowers to barbells, all under a single roof.

As retailers across the country seek creative ways to reel in shoppers, Sunshine (www.sunshinefitness.com) is leaning on its wide variety of offerings to try to ride out the recession's rough waters.

"It's been a good way to diversify," said John Bice, owner of the 6,000-square-foot store. Sales "are up modestly," he said, which in this economy is no small feat.

SNEWS® knows the current economic state is having a huge impact on the specialty retail business. This is one look at different ways retailers are rethinking their retail strategy to become better at serving customers and keeping their bottom line intact. We will take a look at different retail concepts we find in a periodic and ongoing series of stories in SNEWS. This time around we focused on a new fitness retail store with an emphasis on fitness that includes equipment but speaks to the well-rounded needs of a fit and healthy lifestyle. Stay tuned for more in-depth reporting on the current situation both economically and at retail as it develops and changes.

Non-traditional mates
While it's true that what flies in Alaska might not fly in other parts of the United States, Sunshine's experience provides insight into the ups and downs of pairing non-traditional offerings.

"It's a nice mix if you think about it," said Brad Lally, global product development manager for San Diego-based Scubapro diving gear, which Sunshine Fitness has carried for years. "They're going after people in the active lifestyle. If you're outside biking in Alaska, you're definitely into nature and staying fit."

Lally noted that in Florida or California, it's not unusual for a store to combine scuba, snorkeling and swimwear.

"But in other regions of the country with weather extremes, you need to have something else in the store to complement you and sustain sales through the different seasons," he said.

That's pretty much the model that has worked for Sunshine Fitness. Bikes and fitness machines are good seasonal offsets, Bice said, and the state's competitive swimming events help keep sales of suits, caps and goggles strong throughout the year.

Scuba, which Bice called the "odd duck," actually is the bedrock of the store's many offerings. Sunshine Fitness opened 36 years ago in the southeastern Alaska city of Sitka as a scuba shop. The store relocated to Anchorage in 1980.

"Selling scuba in Alaska is probably like selling (snow) skis in Florida," he said. "It's a small, but profitable business."

Diversification to survive
Bice said the decision to diversify came as much from business necessity as it did from a desire to reach new customers. (He said he'd sell the scuba business in a heartbeat if someone offered a fair deal!)

Sunshine began selling fitness equipment five years ago because Bice was eager to unload the ski/snowboard business, which had become so competitive that margins were slim. Sales also were more closely tied to weather than other departments, and the bulky equipment took up valuable floor space. Sunshine officially closed out its line of skis and snowboards last winter.

"It was just a race to the bottom," Bice said of the fragmented ski/snowboard industry. "There was a huge amount of manufactured product, more than the market could handle. It was like selling potatoes."

Bice said he entered the fitness business at the top of the market. And while it remains a profitable and growing part of the business, Sunshine's home and commercial fitness sales have been "off tremendously" this year, Bice said, which is in keeping with most others in the 48 contiguous states. Scuba and bikes make up about 10 percent of sales, and swim a bit less than that, he said.

Tim Porth, co-founder of Octane Fitness, said Sunshine Fitness has stretched farther outside the box than most retailers who carry his company's ellipticals. Porth said it's more common to see fitness retailers branching out into supplements and offering enhanced service packages to try to keep customers coming back to the stores.

But with fitness industry sales plunging some 20 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008, Porth said retailers must get creative, yet remain wary of overreaching.

"You don't want to dilute your offerings too much," said Porth. "You gotta be an expert in fitness categories and you gotta believe in your equipment. If people are paying you that much money for a piece of equipment, you need to gain the respect of your customers."

Octane regional sales manager Dan Rahmann, who works directly with Sunshine Fitness as part of his 18-state coverage area, said Sunshine's location outside the continental United States means it faces some unique challenges.

"Shipping from Minneapolis to Anchorage incurs quite a bit more costs for the product than someone in, say, Denver," Rahmann said. "Dealers can save money through a container program by bringing in great quantities of a product and not paying freight on it. But you're not going to place big orders if you think it could take you a year to sell through it. The manufacturer wants to get paid in 30 to 45 days."

Planning for downturn
Bice said he saw the downturn coming and started making plans to cut inventory and shift his showroom floor in early July 2008. Getting rid of skis and snowboards allowed him to reduce some of his retail space, while also freeing the business of a high-risk category.

The diversity of offerings, he said, is helping him weather the slumping economy better than some of his competitors, though his outlook is far from sunny.

"We're not selling as much as we'd like," he said, "but every department is profitable."

--Jackie CrosbySNEWS® View: Even in the sporting goods category, some areas may sell better than others so for Sunshine offering a number of seemingly odd companions has served a purpose. Perhaps rather than thinking of Sunshine as a specialty dealer who is doing a number of categories, he should be thought of as a sporting goods dealer who is specializing. The broader but still selective offerings allow him to have more things for more people while still being a specialty retailer in dealing with customers. Not a bad model in today's times. --SNEWS® Editors

ForecastIQ™ : Outlook Moves from Thunderstorms to Scattered Showers for Most Retailers

COLUMBUS, OH – 3/20/2009 – The forecast for same store sales growth is looking better for several retailers this month, according to the latest ForecastIQ™ analysis (a service from Prosper Technologies, LLC). In addition to Aeropostale, Buckle and Hot Topic (retailers who have maintained a positive outlook), there are more retailers to add to the list of those expected to see growth over the next two months.

Fred’s and Sam’s Club improved from retailers likely to see an increase to almost certain to see an increase in same store sales over the next 60 days. Cato and Ross are also expected to see significant improvement. Both are likely to see an increase, whereas last month’s forecast predicted a likely decline in same store sales growth for each.

"There is improvement on the horizon," says Prof. Greg Allenby, Fisher College of Business at Ohio State University. "A number of discount-oriented retailers, including BJs, Freds and Ross are expected to see an increase in same store sales relative to earlier predictions. While prospects for department stores still look generally bleak, there does seem to be a break in the clouds for stores offering good deals."

For a complimentary 30 day trial of ForecastIQ: www.forecastiq.com

Although there is a silver lining for some retailers this month, Abercrombie & Fitch, American Eagle, Gap, among others are almost certain to see declines.

A partial list of retailers covered in the ForecastIQ and expectations for same store sales growth/decline for the next 75 days follows:

Almost certain to see increase:

Aeropostale
Buckle
Family Dollar
Fred’s Hot Topic
Sam’s Club
Walmart

Likely to see increase:
BJ’s
Cato
Costco
Ross

Almost certain to see decline:
Abercrombie & Fitch
American Eagle
Banana Republic
Bonton
Chico’s
Dillard’s
Gap
Neiman Marcus
Nordstrom
Pacific Sun
Saks

Likely to see decline:
TJX
Wet Seal

Flat:Children’s Place

ForecastIQ was developed by Prosper Technologies and Greg Allenby by analyzing over 7 years of data from BIGresearch’s monthly Consumer Intentions & Actions (CIA) surveys. Allenby analyzed same store sales of over 37 publicly held retailers and applied Bayesian quantile analysis to the data including whether or not consumers said they plan to spend more, same or less. The results are accurate and for the first time, provide a forecast of consumer spending 75 days in advance. Same store sales forecasts are provided by percent growth over the next 45 and 75 day period. Short term forecasts are also available via enhanced consensus estimates.

About Prosper Technologies: Prosper Technologies develops consumer centric analytics such as ForecastIQ from consumer responses to help businesses forecast consumer demand and expenditures, budget marketing and merchandising allocations and provide retailer specific cross consumption behaviors.

ForecastIQ is a forecast of same store sales for 37 retailers based upon future spending plans of consumers derived from BIGresearch’s monthly Consumer Intentions and Action survey (CIA). Forecasts are 45 and 75 days forward and also include an enhancement to the consensus currently provided in the marketplace.

Picture - Kiwi Dave in the Backcountry


Tanzania Honeymoon